SEC Football Predictions & Preview: Week 5
Week 5 brings a little bit of a down week after last week’s big SEC East shuffling, but the division has another massive game – well, at least Tennessee does. Let’s take a look at the week 5 SEC Football Predictions:
Last week’s record: 4-4
Season record: 26-17 (60% ATS)
Last week’s record: 6-2
Season record: 25-18 (58% ATS)
Last week’s record: 3-5
Season record: 21-22 (49% ATS)
Here is your SEC Football: Week 5 Preview & Predictions.
Florida at Vanderbilt 12:00 pm SEC Network
Line: Florida -10 o/u: 41
Will the Florida defense be able to rebound and make a statement after Tennessee rolled through the, so called, “vaunted” Gator secondary like Honey Boo Boo chasing the ice- cream truck. Todd Kelly Jr. said it best after the game, “We took their souls” in the second half? If the Gators defense shakes off that gut wrenching loss in Knoxville Saturday and plays physical football, Vanderbilt won’t stand a chance. One good sign for the Gators this week, Jalen Tabor has kept his mouth shut after being toasted last week.
Well, if Vanderbilt was a member of Conference USA, they’d be sitting pretty – after routing Middle Tennessee State and pulling off an OT road win against Western Kentucky. Unfortunately, they’re not and failed miserably at home against a horrible South Carolina team and got ran out Atlanta by an average Georgia Tech team.
Purdue transfer, Austin Appleby, played well against Tennessee. In no way was the loss his fault, and this week he should have plenty of time to operate the offense going against a Vanderbilt defense that has a paltry 3 sacks through 4 games. Expect a fired up Gator team this week.
Tennessee at Georgia 3:30 pm CBS
Line: Tennessee -3.5 o/u: 54
The Dawgs’ limp between the hedges this week after coming off of an embarrassing effort against Ole Miss, while Tennessee heads into Athens riding a high after showing a ton of heart after a dismal first half vs. Florida, snapping an 11 game losing streak to the Gators.
Not often you see a Georgia squad a home dog, but that’s what you have this week and I wonder how many Dawg fans were missing Mark Richt last weekend in Oxford? Dropped passes killed the Bulldogs in a 45-14 loss to Ole Miss. Through four games Georgia has dropped 17 passes out of 135 attempts. Listen, the Georgia offensive line has been horrific, stop Chubb, and you’re left with a freshman quarterback throwing off his back foot to a bunch of butterfingers. Mckenzie (the human joystick) needed some stick-em last week after dropping multiple passes, that cant happen.
45-0 Ole Miss. Georgia hasn't gotten whipped this bad since Sherman marched to the sea.
— Clay Travis (@ClayTravis) September 24, 2016
After allowing 300 yards of offense in the first half, Schoop’s defense smothered the Gators allowing just 102 in the second half. Halftime adjustments, noted!
In week one, Georgia looked solid against a good UNC team in the Georgia Dome, while Tennessee needed overtime at home to defeat Appalachian State, my, how the trend lines have turned since week one.
I’ve heard many folks mention a UGA bounce back, while the Vols’ have a let down after getting past the Gators last week. I guess, it’s possible. But, I look at the position matchups, particularly the Tennessee offense vs. the Georgia defense, and it’s not pretty. I suspect Tennessee will start slow, like they have all season before running away with this game in the second half.
The Vols’ are 6-1 against the spread in Athens over the last 6 games.
Josh: Rocky Top, and it won’t be pretty for the Dawgs.
ULM at Auburn 3:30 pm SEC Network
Line: Auburn -33 o/u: 56
Coming off a devastating loss, followed by a huge win, all within 2 minutes of each other, I’d expect a sluggish start from Auburn. The Tiger faithful will panic, for absolutely no reason and the Tigers will roll, in the second half. Let’s just hope they roll Toomer’s Corner trees and some idiot doesn’t set them them a blaze this week.
Texas A&M at South Carolina 4:00 pm SEC Network
Line: Texas A&M -18 o/u: 48.5
Changes up front coming for the Gamecocks?
“That’s part of the discussion we’re having right now,” head coach Will Muschamp said when asked if there would be upcoming changes on the offensive line. “Personnel, scheme, and different things–that’s part of the discussion. We need to improve.”
Kentucky has one of the worst defenses in the country and South Carolina scored just 10 points on 268 yards of total offense. Unacceptable. South Carolina rushed for just 91 yards against Kentucky and allowed a season-high 4 sacks. The Wildcats had 3 sacks on the season before South Carolina came to the blue grass state.
Good lord, I hope changes are coming, Shawn Elliott’s line has been so bad he should be arrested for stealing from the University of South Carolina. Elliott is a Spurrier holdover, the only one, clearly it was a mistake. Listen, Elliott is a great Ra-Ra-Ra cheerleader, but his lines have drastically underachieved the last 4 seasons when it was supposedly a “strength,” of the team heading into each season.
This is a horrible matchup for a horrific offensive line facing two of the best rush ends in college football in Garrett and Hall. The real question here is, will South Carolina score more points than Texas A&M has sacks?
South Carolina has 42 scholarship players on offense.
Of the 42, 34 are either frosh or sophs which is 81%.
— Phil Steele (@philsteele042) September 27, 2016
Billy: Texas A&M
Keach: Texas A&M
Josh: Texas A&M- on a line that should be illegal
Kentucky at Alabama 7:00 pm ESPN
Line: Alabama -35.5 o/u: 57.5
I Love My Coach And We Will Go To War For Him And That's Not A Rumor !!
— Matt Elam™6⃣9⃣ (@FballIsLife69) September 25, 2016
The Wildcats are 2-36-1 all-time against the Crimson Tide, its last win a 40-34 overtime victory in 1997. Kentucky has never won at Bryant-Denny Stadium, they came close in 2008, but fell 17-14.
Josh: Roll Tide
Memphis at Ole Miss 7:00 pm ESPNU
Line: Ole Miss -14.5 o/u: 65.5
The Rebels could be overlooking this game after facing Georgia and Alabama the last two weeks and they have an off date staring them in the face next week, so will the Rebels be focused? Ole- Miss has to be the best 2-2 team in the country, even after blowing huge leads against Florida State and Alabama.
Memphis has the offense to hang some points on a sketchy Ole Miss defense, 14.5 is a pile of points, be careful.
Billy: Ole Miss
Josh: Ole Miss – Revenge for last years loss to the Tigers.
Missouri at LSU 7:30 pm SEC Network
Line: LSU -13 o/u: 51
Take this line with EXTREME CAUTION, LSU has announced Fournette will be a game-time decision, if he’s out this game should be taken off the board.
LSU has had quite a week, they defeated Auburn, then lost to Auburn two minutes later, lost their head coach for the second time in less than two years and may be without the best running back in college football….All in 4 days!
Assuming Fournette plays, 13 points is still a ton of points in what should be a defensive ballgame in Baton Rouge, but then again, Les Miles is gone, so who knows.
Ed Orgeron has promised the offense will be opened up and When Orgeron took over the Trojans after Lane Kiffin’s firing in 2013, he rallied the team to six victories in the next seven games.
Good lord, someone at ESPN create some sort of TV Show for Spurrier and Miles, could you imagine the viewing for such a program?
— Druid City Brewing (@DruidCityBrew) September 29, 2016
Alcorn State at Arkansas 12:00 pm SEC Network
Line: No Line
The Hawgs’ are coming off a physical high scoring loss to Texas A&M and with Alabama up next, a break vs. Alcorn State is a welcomed site in the Ozarks. Arkansas needs to shore up their 3rd down defense and establish the run we’ve grown accustom to in Fayetteville.
While we’ll track season performance against the spread, please remember these picks are for entertainment purposes only, you do NOT want to wager any MOOLA based on our picks. If you do, you should be slapped.
Spreads from http://www.oddsshark.com/